Time has passed as we have watched a lack of progress over the last 2 weeks in Iran. In Part 8 of this series, Cogport projected it would take Time and Endurance to resolve the situation. Cogport also recommended the organization of convoys to move oil through the Strait of Hormuz. No serious effort has been made considering this would open flow to the world again. Owners of tankers are risk averse and will not take a chance on an attack from Iran. That risk can be co

Since the last Cogport post on April 10, much has transpired in the situation with Iran. We will not repeat all that here. You know if you follow the news. Read the previous posts for background. Here is an assessment of current events. Trump’s strategy has come in fits and starts, trying to adjust to the changing picture. He has landed on a good strategy to blockade Iran to squeeze their supply of materials and starve them of income from oil shipments. This leads to the ma

“How Do You Solve a Problem Like Maria?” — song from movie The Sound of Music Set in the time of Nazi Germany. Now let’s take that question to a different realm. How do you solve a problem like Hitler ? His “fight to the death” strategy and indoctrination of the German people led to the utter destruction of Germany. There were no holds barred by the Allies to defeat the Nazis, which unfortunately meant that many civilians lost their lives, and infrastructure decimated. Th

I watched Trump’s Press Conference today. The latest plan: a hard deadline (Tuesday night) for Iran to meet U.S. demands (including reopening the Strait of Hormuz and broader concessions). He warned the U.S. could “Take out” Iran or “the entire country… in one night” Would Launch large-scale strikes on infrastructure such as: power plants bridges He indicated the U.S. already has detailed plans ready to execute quickly and decisively. Of course, the shallow media kept aski